Diferencia entre revisiones de «Anexo:Sondeos de intención de voto para las elecciones generales de Ecuador de 2021»

== Estimación de votos en candidatos ==
Comprende la proyección del voto en candidatos presidenciales inscritos oficialmente en el Consejo Nacional Electoral del Ecuador que fueron designados directamente por su partido o movimiento en una coalición política, o que fueron elegidos para representarlos por medio de unas elecciones primarias internas del partido o movimiento.
=== Simulación de Primera Vuelta === <!-- Los promedios se reinician al comienzo de año -->
{{gráfico
|width=800
|x=2020/9/10,2020/9/12,2020/9/14,2020/9/18,2020/9/20,2020/9/28,2020/9/29,2020/9/30,2020/10/1,2020/10/5,2020/10/7,2020/10/8,2020/10/24,2020/10/27,2020/11/4,2020/11/6,2020/11/15,2020/11/17,2020/11/26,2020/12/3,2020/12/8,2020/12/13,2020/12/20,2020/12/23,2020/12/27,2020/12/29,2020/12/31,2021/01/15
|y1Title=CREO-PSC
|y1=23.1,27.4,24.5,26.4,26.3,27.5,26.3,25.1,24.6,23.8,24.5,24.2,24.6,24.7,25.1,25.4,25.1,25.0,24.6,24.7,24.6,24.1,23.6,23.5,23.1,23.0,23.4,2326.50 <!-- Guillermo Lasso -->
|y2Title=UNES
|y2=22.0,17.9,17.5,24.6,23.9,22.6,22.3,21.1,20.9,20.4,19.5,,19.4,,19.1,19.0,19.2,19.1,19.2,,18.9,19.7,19.9,,20.1,20.2,20.9,2128.16 <!-- Andrés Arauz -->
|y3Title=MUPP
|y3=20.5,15.6,15.8,12.9,12.1,11.3,10.5,9.9,10.7,10.8,10.3,10.4,10.3,10.5,10.4,10.5,10.7,11.1,11.2,11.1,,11.6,,11.5,,11.8,11.7,1112.73 <!-- Yaku Pérez -->
|y4Title=HONESTIDAD
|y4=9.9,6.0,8.0,6.3,,5.2,5.3,4.7,4.6,4.2,,4.0,3.7,3.5,3.2,3.1,2.9,,,2.8,2.7,2.7,2.6,2.7,,,2.6,21.50 <!-- César Montúfar -->
|y5Title=AVANZA
|y5=6.6,3.6,,2.7,,2.2,2.6,2.3,2.4,,,2.3,2.1,2.0,1.9,1.8,1.9,2.1,,2.0,,2.0,,2.1,,2.2,2.1,2.12 <!-- Isidro Romero -->
|y6Title=DSÍ
|y6=,0.8,,0.6,1.7,1.4,1.9,1.6,,1.5,,1.8,,1.7,1.6,1.5,1.5,,,,1.4,,1.5,,,,,10.45 <!-- Gustavo Larrea -->
|y7Title=PSP
|y7=,1.5,,0.9,,1.0,1.2,1.1,1.3,,,1.5,1.6,,1.5,1.4,1.7,,,1.6,,1.5,,,,,1.5,1.58 <!-- Lucio Gutierrez -->
|y8Title=PAIS
|y8=,0.8,,0.5,,0.6,0.9,,,,,1.5,1.3,1.2,,,1.3,,,,1.2,,1.3,,,,,1.31 <!-- Ximena Peña -->
|y9Title=MCE
|y9=,1.1,,0.7,,0.8,,0.7,0.9,,,1.0,0.9,1.0,0.9,,,,,,1.0,,,,,,1.1,1.0.8 <!-- Juan Fernando Velasco -->
|y10Title=SUMA
|y10=,0.5,,0.7,,0.6,0.7,0.6,,,,0.8,0.7,,,0.8,,,,,,0.8,,1.0,,,0.9,0.97 <!-- Guillermo Celi -->
|y11Title=AMIGO
|y11=,1.0,,0.6,,0.4,0.6,,,,,,,0.5,,0.4,,,,0.3,,,,,,,,0.31 <!-- Pedro Freile -->
|y12Title=ID
|y12=,,,0.4,,,0.7,0.5,,,,,0.4,,,,,,,0.3,,,,,,,,0.5,0.68 <!-- Xavier Hervas -->
|y13Title=MEU
|y13=,0.3,,,,0.2,0.5,0.4,,,,,,0.3,,,,,,,,,,,,,,0.32, <!-- Gerson Almeida -->
|y14Title=UE
|y14=,,,,,,,,,,,,,0.1,,,0.2,,,,,,,,,,,0.2, <!-- Giovanny Andrade -->
|y15Title=FE
|y15=,,,,,,,,,,,,,,0.1,0.2,0.3,,,0.2,,0.2,0.3,,,,,0.3,0.2, <!-- Carlos Sagnay -->
|y16Title=JP
|y16=,,,0.4,,0.3,,,,,,,,0.2,,,,,,,,,,,,,,0.21 <!-- Paúl Carrasco -->
|colors=#0000FF,#FF4500,#FE2EC8,#00CED1,#0080FF,#E30049,#087830,#00FF00,#0039A9,#00BFFF,#000000,#FFA500,#00008B,#FA8072,#FF0000,#4169E1
}}
=== 2021 ===
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="font-size: 90%;"
!<small>Fecha</small>
!<small>Muestra</small>
!<small>Error (%)</small>
! style= |[[Andrés Arauz Galarza|<small>Andrés Arauz</small>]]
! style= |<small>[[Guillermo Lasso]]</small>
! style= |[[Andrés Arauz Galarza|<small>Andrés Arauz</small>]]
! style= |[[Yaku Pérez Guartambel|<small>Yaku Pérez</small>]]
! style= |<small>[[César Montúfar]]</small>
! style= |<small>[[Isidro Romero]]</small>
! style="" |<small>[[Lucio Gutiérrez]]</small>
! style="" |<small>[[Gustavo Larrea]]</small>
! style= |<small>[[Ximena Peña]]</small>
! style= |<small>[[César Montúfar]]</small>
! style="" |[[Juan Fernando Velasco|<small>Juan F. Velasco</small>]]
! style= |<small>[[Guillermo Celi]]</small>
! style= |<small>Xavier Hervas</small>
! style="border-bottom-color: " |<small>Pedro[[Guillermo FreileCeli]]</small>
! style="" |<small>[[Gustavo Larrea]]</small>
! style="" |<small>[[Paúl Carrasco]]</small>
! style="" |<small>Gerson Almeida</small>
! style="" |<small>Carlos Sagnay</small>
! style="border-bottom-color: " |<small>[[PaúlPedro Carrasco]]Freile</small>
! style="" |<small>Giovanny Andrade</small>>
!<small>Nulo</small>
!<small>Blanco</small>
|<small>1.520 casos</small>
| align="center" |<small>±3%</small>
| align="center" |<small>26,01%</small>
| align="center" style="background:#FF7F50" |<small>'''28,64%'''</small>
| align="center" |<small>26,01%</small>
| align="center" |<small>12,25%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,99%</small>
| align="center" |<small>2,2%</small>
| align="center" |<small>1,75%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,5%</small>
| align="center" |<small>1,11%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,99%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,84%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,72%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,83%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,0872%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,5%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,7247%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,34%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,17%</small>
| align="center" |<small>0,4708%</small>
| align="center" |<small>-</small>
| align="center" |<small>15,39%</small>
| align="center" |<small>7,69%</small>
|}
 
=== 2020 ===
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="font-size: 90%;"
!<small>Fecha</small>
!<small>Fuente</small>
!<small>Muestra</small>
!<small>Error (%)</small>
! style= |<small>[[Guillermo Lasso]]</small>
! style= |[[Andrés Arauz Galarza|<small>Andrés Arauz</small>]]
! style= |[[Yaku Pérez Guartambel|<small>Yaku Pérez</small>]]
! style= |<small>[[César Montúfar]]</small>
! style= |<small>[[Isidro Romero]]</small>
! style="" |<small>[[Lucio Gutiérrez]]</small>
! style="" |<small>[[Gustavo Larrea]]</small>
! style= |<small>[[Ximena Peña]]</small>
! style="" |[[Juan Fernando Velasco|<small>Juan F. Velasco</small>]]
! style= |<small>[[Guillermo Celi]]</small>
! style= |<small>Xavier Hervas</small>
! style="border-bottom-color: " |<small>Pedro Freile</small>
! style="" |<small>Gerson Almeida</small>
! style="" |<small>Carlos Sagnay</small>
! style="" |<small>[[Paúl Carrasco]]</small>
! style="" |<small>Giovanny Andrade</small>
!<small>Nulo</small>
!<small>Blanco</small>
|-
| colspan="22" align="center" style="background:#D0D0D0; color:black"|'''<small>Finalizado el 2020, el candidato de la alianza [[Movimiento CREO|CREO]]-[[Partido Social Cristiano (Ecuador)|PSC]] [[Guillermo Lasso]] lidera la mayoría de sondeos pre-electorales, a pesar de sus decrecimientos en los sondeos de opinión en el mes de diciembre 2020, también con el descartamiento de [[Álvaro Noboa]] como candidato.</small>
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